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No sign of workers returning to city centre offices

Workers are showing no signs of getting back to the city centre offices, although the government’s Eat Out to Help Out scheme is helping high street businesses, according to a new analysis.

The analysis by Centre for Cities shows that the number of workers heading back to the office has increased in fewer than half of the UK’s biggest city and town centres.

In central London and Manchester, early August weekday footfall rose by just 1% point compared to the early July.

While Leeds, Bristol and Nottingham all saw no change and in Birmingham city centre, the number of workers has fallen this summer.

Centre for Cities has warned that the persistently low numbers of workers going back into city centres, particularly in big cities, raises questions over the future of shops, cafes, restaurants and bars that depend on office workers for custom.

But new data from the Centre for Cities High Street Recovery Tracker also reveals that Eat Out To Help Out is helping the high street.

The tracker shows that the Eat Out to Help Out scheme has encouraged more people to visit city and town centres.

On average on Monday to Wednesday evenings in early August visitor numbers were 8 percentage points higher than in late July.

But the scheme has been less effective in large cities.

In London, the number of city centre visitors on Eat Out to Help Out nights was just 3 percentage points higher than the same nights in late July – one of the lowest increases in the UK. In contrast, average footfall on Eat Out to Help Out nights in small and medium sized city cities was on average 12 percentage points higher than in late July.

Seaside towns appear to have been some of the biggest beneficiaries of the Eat Out To Help Out scheme and the good weather.

With a 23 percentage point increase in Monday to Wednesday night visitors, Bournemouth has had the biggest Eat Out To Help Out boom. Meanwhile Southend, Blackpool and Brighton have also benefited.

A survey by the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) earlier this month found 93% of respondents think their business will scale back office space over the next two years as working habits change in the aftermath of the pandemic.

‘Good weather and the Eat Out to Help Out Scheme have helped increase the number of visitors to city and town centres,’ said Centre for Cities’ chief executive, Andrew Carter.

‘But a question mark remains over whether the footfall increase that we have seen this summer can be sustained into the autumn without the good weather and government incentive – particularly with so many people still working from home.

‘Shops, restaurants and pubs face an uncertain future while office workers remain at home. So, in the absence of a big increase in people returning to the office, the government must set out how it will support the people working in city centre retail and hospitality who could well find themselves out of a job by Christmas,’ added Mr Carter.

Photo Credit – Pexels (Pixabay)

Jamie Hailstone
Senior reporter - NewStart

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