Advertisement

Economic false hopes hinder a better future

I suggested to a north east colleague last week that his area was not going to get growth in the foreseeable future.  He said ‘You don’t get economic growth unless you sing out loud for it – shy bairns get nee sweets’.

So because ‘shy bairns get nee sweets’ we see the local enterprise partnerships (Leps) talking up their prospects even in areas where growth is very unlikely.  As our economy slumps along, credit ratings get threatened and deficit reduction rules over stimulus, Leps talk is ‘boosterist’.  Their area is ‘ripe for growth’, there is ‘investment potential’, ‘vibrant local labour markets’, ‘innovation culture’. They have ‘advanced manufacturing aims’, ‘export market strategies’.

Nevertheless, it is blindingly obvious to many in the economic development field that Leps are work in progress, and in many cases ill-equipped to deal with the huge challenge of delivering economic growth in some areas.

Many of us know that this boosterist positive language is often masking some grim local realities.  A reality, where there is an under-skilled workforce, poor infrastructure, little capital and a shrinking business base. Growth, in this situation, will at best be very patchy and will favour a few or won’t happen at all.  After all, some areas never achieved growth even in the good times.

The harsh reality that many areas face and which they must confront is that they are competing with many areas across the world with better growth potential. The reality is that England’s economy favours the haves, and that they are the have-nots.  The reality is that that capital investment is risk averse in poorer areas.  The reality is that the wider European and global economic picture is uncertain. The reality is that sustainable growth for some places is at best a generation away.

However, despite this reality many consultancies and think tanks just spout what some areas (and the government) desperately want to believe – that growth is merely a lifting of a restriction or a nudge away.  Of course there is no advantage in just talking things down, that will just make it worse.  But I am tired and dismayed at hearing and reading reports from consultancies and think tanks trotting out wobbly economic development thinking – ‘knowledge economies’ and ‘innovation strategies’ for places which, in reality are in some cases filled with aged infrastructure and a local citizenry who are more geared toward a workshop economy.  It’s as if they think the whole of England is Silicon Valley or Cambridge!

The arch boosterists, neo liberal ideologues and the deluded ever-hopeful will no doubt disagree with this.  However, for many of England’s poorest places it is the reality.  Growth, or at least growth which is sustainable, is built on solid foundations and inputs – capital flowing, labour skilled and being upskilled, creative and innovation culture, place based factors, networks and a dose of alchemy and serendipity. Rome wasn’t built in a day and neither is growth.

Therefore, while attempts to avert some areas from years of unemployment and misery may require some loud positive words, we also need to confront this short and medium term reality.  That is why part of our work at CLES focuses on rethinking economic futures and alternative economic strategies and in particular resilience and growth.  Working with a range of places, we are looking at activities which shield places from the worse effects of economic decline, but also look at the basic traditional key inputs which create conditions for economic growth – capital, labour, place.  However, most importantly we also seek to create a new growth future for places which is not predicated on economic growth alone.  In this we seek to grow social capital, culture, identity, environment and individual health and wellbeing.

Therefore, in some areas, we need a fundamental rethink.  We must deal with realities of place, people and potential for economic growth. At the same time we need a consideration of a transition to different non-economic forms of growth.
Unless we have this change in thinking, the damage could be much worse. False hopes, resources and local energy, driven by boosterist language and wobbly economic development thinking, will just deliver even more despair and hinder a better future.

Neil Mclnroy
Neil McInroy is chief executive of the Centre for Local Economic Strategies (CLES)
Help us break the news – share your information, opinion or analysis
Back to top